PubData Leuphana Repository: Future ecosystem service provision under land-use change scenarios in southwestern Ethiopia

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.48548/pubdata-1421

Resource type	Journal Article
Title(s)	Future ecosystem service provision under land-use change scenarios in southwestern Ethiopia
DOI	10.48548/pubdata-1421
Handle	20.500.14123/1490
Creator	Duguma, Dula Wakassa 0000-0003-4581-8351 Brück, Maria 0000-0001-8656-8972 Shumi, Girma 0000-0001-7386-6815 Law, Elizabeth 0000-0003-4456-1259 Benra, Felipe 0000-0003-2189-2186 Schultner, Jannik 0000-0002-5865-7975 Nemomissa, Sileshi 0000-0002-3665-0713 Abson, David J. 0000-0003-3755-785X Fischer, Joern 0000-0003-3187-8978
Abstract	Continued pressure and transformation of land-use by humans are key drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem services (ES) loss. To determine the sustainability of possible future land-use practices, it is important to anticipate likely future changes to biodiversity and ES. This can help stakeholders and decision-makers to understand and assess the viability of current development policies and design alternative future pathways. Focusing on a biodiversity hotspot in southwestern Ethiopia, we considered four future land-use scenarios (namely: ‘Gain over grain’, ‘Coffee and conservation’, ‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’ scenarios) that were developed in an earlier project via participatory scenario planning. We modelled and mapped the spatial distribution of six ES (erosion control, carbon storage, coffee production, crop production, livestock feed, and woody-plant richness) for the current landscape and the four scenarios. Our results show that potential ES changes differed strongly across the scenarios. Changes were strongest for land-use scenarios involving large-scale agricultural intensification; and changes were not uniformly distributed across the landscape. Smallholder farmers specializing on cash crops (‘Gain over grain’ scenario) would likely cause little change to ES generation, but major losses in ES would result from expanding either food or coffee production (‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’). Finally, the ‘Coffee and conservation’ scenario appears to be the most sustainable scenario because it would secure diverse ES for the long term. Our findings provide valuable input for decision-makers and stakeholders and could help to identify sustainable land-use options.
Language	English
Keywords	Ecosystem; Services; Land Use; Large-scale Intensification; Spatial Mapping
Year of publication in PubData	2024
Publishing type	Parallel publication
Publication version	Published version
Date issued	2024-03-11
Creation context	Research
Notes	This publication was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG).
Published by	Medien- und Informationszentrum, Leuphana Universität Lüneburg
Related resources	Relations of this publication Relations of this publication

Information regarding first publication

Field	Value
Resource type	Journal
Title of the resource type	Ecosystems and People
Identifier	DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2321613
Volume	20
Issue	1
Number	2321613
Number type	Article
Publisher	Taylor & Francis