Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://doi.org/10.48548/pubdata-1421
Full metadata record
FieldValue
Resource typeJournal Article
Title(s)Future ecosystem service provision under land-use change scenarios in southwestern Ethiopia
DOI10.48548/pubdata-1421
Handle20.500.14123/1490
CreatorDuguma, Dula Wakassa  0000-0003-4581-8351
Brück, Maria  0000-0001-8656-8972
Shumi, Girma  0000-0001-7386-6815
Law, Elizabeth  0000-0003-4456-1259
Benra, Felipe  0000-0003-2189-2186
Schultner, Jannik  0000-0002-5865-7975
Nemomissa, Sileshi  0000-0002-3665-0713
Abson, David J.  0000-0003-3755-785X
Fischer, Joern  0000-0003-3187-8978
AbstractContinued pressure and transformation of land-use by humans are key drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem services (ES) loss. To determine the sustainability of possible future land-use practices, it is important to anticipate likely future changes to biodiversity and ES. This can help stakeholders and decision-makers to understand and assess the viability of current development policies and design alternative future pathways. Focusing on a biodiversity hotspot in southwestern Ethiopia, we considered four future land-use scenarios (namely: ‘Gain over grain’, ‘Coffee and conservation’, ‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’ scenarios) that were developed in an earlier project via participatory scenario planning. We modelled and mapped the spatial distribution of six ES (erosion control, carbon storage, coffee production, crop production, livestock feed, and woody-plant richness) for the current landscape and the four scenarios. Our results show that potential ES changes differed strongly across the scenarios. Changes were strongest for land-use scenarios involving large-scale agricultural intensification; and changes were not uniformly distributed across the landscape. Smallholder farmers specializing on cash crops (‘Gain over grain’ scenario) would likely cause little change to ES generation, but major losses in ES would result from expanding either food or coffee production (‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’). Finally, the ‘Coffee and conservation’ scenario appears to be the most sustainable scenario because it would secure diverse ES for the long term. Our findings provide valuable input for decision-makers and stakeholders and could help to identify sustainable land-use options.
LanguageEnglish
KeywordsEcosystem; Services; Land Use; Large-scale Intensification; Spatial Mapping
Year of publication in PubData2024
Publishing typeParallel publication
Publication versionPublished version
Date issued2024-03-11
Creation contextResearch
Faculty / departmentFakultät Nachhaltigkeit
NotesThis publication was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG).
Date of Availability2024-11-06T14:42:58Z
Archiving Facility Medien- und Informationszentrum (Leuphana Universität Lüneburg  02w2y2t16)
Published byMedien- und Informationszentrum, Leuphana Universität Lüneburg
  Information regarding first publication
FieldValue
Resource typeJournal
Title of the resource typeEcosystems and People
IdentifierDOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2321613
Volume20
Issue1
Number2321613
Number typeArticle
PublisherTaylor & Francis
  Related Resources
Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 

Duguma_Future_ecosystem_service_provision.pdf
MD5: 76338f9d2b1607a2772e9da6c534f209
License: 
open-access


8.72 MB

Adobe PDF
View/Open

Items in PubData are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

Citation formats
Access statistics

Page view(s): 7

Download(s): 4