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ElementWert
RessourcentypZeitschriftenartikel
TitelFuture ecosystem service provision under land-use change scenarios in southwestern Ethiopia
DOI10.48548/pubdata-1421
Handle20.500.14123/1490
Autor*inDuguma, Dula Wakassa  0000-0003-4581-8351
Brück, Maria  0000-0001-8656-8972
Shumi, Girma  0000-0001-7386-6815
Law, Elizabeth  0000-0003-4456-1259
Benra, Felipe  0000-0003-2189-2186
Schultner, Jannik  0000-0002-5865-7975
Nemomissa, Sileshi  0000-0002-3665-0713
Abson, David J.  0000-0003-3755-785X
Fischer, Joern  0000-0003-3187-8978
AbstractContinued pressure and transformation of land-use by humans are key drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem services (ES) loss. To determine the sustainability of possible future land-use practices, it is important to anticipate likely future changes to biodiversity and ES. This can help stakeholders and decision-makers to understand and assess the viability of current development policies and design alternative future pathways. Focusing on a biodiversity hotspot in southwestern Ethiopia, we considered four future land-use scenarios (namely: ‘Gain over grain’, ‘Coffee and conservation’, ‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’ scenarios) that were developed in an earlier project via participatory scenario planning. We modelled and mapped the spatial distribution of six ES (erosion control, carbon storage, coffee production, crop production, livestock feed, and woody-plant richness) for the current landscape and the four scenarios. Our results show that potential ES changes differed strongly across the scenarios. Changes were strongest for land-use scenarios involving large-scale agricultural intensification; and changes were not uniformly distributed across the landscape. Smallholder farmers specializing on cash crops (‘Gain over grain’ scenario) would likely cause little change to ES generation, but major losses in ES would result from expanding either food or coffee production (‘Mining green gold’ and ‘Food first’). Finally, the ‘Coffee and conservation’ scenario appears to be the most sustainable scenario because it would secure diverse ES for the long term. Our findings provide valuable input for decision-makers and stakeholders and could help to identify sustainable land-use options.
SpracheEnglisch
SchlagwörterEcosystem; Services; Land Use; Large-scale Intensification; Spatial Mapping
Jahr der Veröffentlichung in PubData2024
Art der VeröffentlichungZweitveröffentlichung
PublikationsversionVeröffentlichte Version
Datum der Erstveröffentlichung2024-03-11
EntstehungskontextForschung
Fakultät / AbteilungFakultät Nachhaltigkeit
AnmerkungenThis publication was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG).
Verfügbar ab / seit2024-11-06T14:42:58Z
Archivierende Einrichtung Medien- und Informationszentrum (Leuphana Universität Lüneburg  02w2y2t16)
Veröffentlicht durchMedien- und Informationszentrum, Leuphana Universität Lüneburg
  Informationen zur Erstveröffentlichung
ElementWert
RessourcentypZeitschrift
Titel des RessourcentypsEcosystems and People
IdentifierDOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2321613
Band20
Heft1
Nummer2321613
NummerntypArtikel
Verlag / AnbieterTaylor & Francis
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